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Climate-Driven Heat Waves Cause Millions of Deaths; Puerto Rico Still Undercounts Heat Deaths

Published Oct 28, 2026, 8:00 AM ASTvia Sin Comillas

At a glance

  • The Lancet Countdown report, with 146 researchers, attributes a record 710,000 heat deaths in 2023 to global heat, over 70% blamed on climate change.
  • Puerto Rico’s Department of Health registered 442 heat- or sun-related illness cases from January to September 2026, versus 502 in all of 2025.
  • UPI professor Pablo Méndez Lázaro says death certificates on the island rarely list heat, so heat-related mortality is not documented effectively.

Why this matters: With no reliable death-record system for heat, Puerto Rico’s older adults and chronically ill, and the one in seven children with asthma, face health risks that official statistics do not capture.

Heat caused by climate change killed nearly three million people worldwide between 2016 and 2023, according to a new report published in the medical journal The Lancet by the Lancet Countdown project, which involved 146 researchers. In 2023, the hottest year examined, heat caused a record 710,000 global deaths, more than 70% attributed to climate change, exceeding deaths from malaria or HIV.

In Puerto Rico, however, there is no uniform and effective system for recording heat-related deaths, the Centro de Periodismo Investigativo (CPI) revealed. Pablo Méndez Lázaro, an author of the Lancet Countdown report on Small Island Developing States that included Puerto Rico and a professor at the University of Puerto Rico’s Medical Sciences Campus, said thousands have died on the island from causes totally or partially related to extreme heat, mostly older adults and people with chronic illnesses, but death certificates rarely name heat.

The island’s Department of Health’s syndromic surveillance system recorded 442 heat- or sun-related illness cases from January to September 2026, compared with 502 for all of 2025. Pediatrician Gredia Huerta Montañez, cofounder of the Puerto Rico chapter of Physicians for Climate Action, said Puerto Rico’s childhood asthma incidence is among the highest of US jurisdictions, and about one in seven island children has asthma.

The Lancet Countdown found health risks from climate change have grown faster since 2016, coinciding with the Paris Agreement’s entry into force.

In context

SourceSin Comillas

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