As of September 16, the National Hurricane Center lists no active systems in the Atlantic basin.
The tropics are quiet right now. As of September 16, the National Hurricane Center has no active systems on the board anywhere in the Atlantic, and the only thing worth mentioning in the 7-day outlook is a single area of interest out in the Central Subtropical Atlantic, well outside Puerto Rico’s corridor. Its odds are modest, too: just 10% over the next 48 hours, rising to 30% by day seven, so this is something to keep an eye on rather than worry about.
We’re just past the climatological peak of the season, which fell on September 10, so activity like this is normal for mid-September even in a quiet stretch. Nothing points toward Puerto Rico this week, and residents and visitors can go about normal plans without any tropical concerns locally. As always, for official forecasts and any changes to this outlook, check the National Hurricane Center and NWS San Juan directly.
The 7-day outlook
| Outlook area | 48-hour chance (NHC chance of a tropical cyclone forming within 48 hours) | 7-day chance (NHC chance of formation within seven days) | Corridor (Whether the area sits on a path that could reach Puerto Rico) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Subtropical Atlantic | 10% | 30% | away |
Live tracks, cones and the Puerto Rico prep checklist are on the hurricane hub; the weather page carries the daily tropics line. Official watches and warnings: the National Hurricane Center and NWS San Juan.
This is the 2nd Tropics Watch of the season (last week’s is here). Source: NHC CurrentStorms.json and the Tropical Weather Outlook issued Sep 16 at 1:01 AM.