Infrastructure

Daily Water Watch: Carraízo Rises to 39.25 Meters

Published Sep 15, 2026 · 787 Daily · Original analysis

Day 39 of the metro rotation plan — interruptions paused since September 2, plan still in force. This morning’s 5:00 chart from the Autoridad de Acueductos y Alcantarillados shows Carraízo at 39.25 meters — up 9 centimeters from yesterday, and La Plata at 44.46 meters — up 6 centimeters from yesterday.

This is the 35th entry in our daily chart check (yesterday’s is here), built the same way every morning — from AAA’s own numbers, read off its charts for our reservoir board.

Carraízo: a rise

Carraízo gained ground overnight. This morning’s chart puts it at 39.25 meters — up 9 centimeters from yesterday, in the observación band. The next line on the chart — into the ajustes band — sits at 38.50 meters, 0.75 meters below this morning’s reading.

ajustes observación 37.0 37.5 38.0 38.5 39.0 39.5 Aug 26 Sep 5 Sep 15 Aug 26 · 37.30 m · ajustesAug 27 · 37.26 m · −4 cm · ajustesAug 28 · 37.20 m · −6 cm · ajustesAug 29 · 37.14 m · −6 cm · ajustesAug 30 · 37.07 m · −7 cm · ajustesAug 31 · 37.14 m · +7 cm · ajustesSep 1 · 37.20 m · +6 cm · ajustesSep 2 · 38.92 m · +172 cm · observaciónSep 3 · 39.11 m · +19 cm · observaciónSep 4 · 39.09 m · −2 cm · observaciónSep 5 · 39.01 m · −8 cm · observaciónSep 6 · 38.94 m · −7 cm · observaciónSep 7 · 38.87 m · −7 cm · observaciónSep 8 · 38.83 m · −4 cm · observaciónSep 9 · 39.02 m · +19 cm · observaciónSep 10 · 39.07 m · +5 cm · observaciónSep 11 · 39.20 m · +13 cm · observaciónSep 12 · 39.19 m · −1 cm · observaciónSep 13 · 39.14 m · −5 cm · observaciónSep 14 · 39.16 m · +2 cm · observaciónSep 15 · 39.25 m · +9 cm · observación 39.25 m — today ▲ Sep 9 · 0.41 in of rainSep 10 · 0.2 in of rainSep 11 · 0.3 in of rainSep 13 · 0.6 in of rainSep 14 · 1.6 in of rain rain to 1.60 in
Carraízo since Aug 26, metres above sea level, shaded by AAA alert band, with daily rain from USGS gauges within 12 km. Data: AAA Monitoreo Diario.

Carraízo · September 15

Level today
39.25 mband: observación
Change since yesterday
+9 cm
To the ajustes line
0.75 mline at 38.50 m
At the current pace
rising

La Plata: a rise

La Plata gained ground overnight. This morning’s chart puts it at 44.46 meters — up 6 centimeters from yesterday, in the ajustes band. The next line on the chart — into the control band — sits at 40.50 meters, 3.96 meters below this morning’s reading.

If your water comes from La Plata — Dorado, Guaynabo, Naranjito, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Vega Alta, Bayamón, Cataño, Corozal — this is the reservoir to watch; AAA lists 130,828 client accounts on it.

ajustes observación 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Aug 26 Sep 5 Sep 15 Aug 26 · 45.15 m · observaciónAug 27 · 45.04 m · −11 cm · observaciónAug 28 · 44.93 m · −11 cm · observaciónAug 29 · 44.83 m · −10 cm · ajustesAug 30 · 44.72 m · −11 cm · ajustesAug 31 · 44.67 m · −5 cm · ajustesSep 1 · 44.59 m · −8 cm · ajustesSep 2 · 44.59 m · +0 cm · ajustesSep 3 · 44.59 m · +0 cm · ajustesSep 4 · 44.57 m · −2 cm · ajustesSep 5 · 44.54 m · −3 cm · ajustesSep 6 · 44.52 m · −2 cm · ajustesSep 7 · 44.46 m · −6 cm · ajustesSep 8 · 44.40 m · −6 cm · ajustesSep 9 · 44.32 m · −8 cm · ajustesSep 10 · 44.24 m · −8 cm · ajustesSep 11 · 44.14 m · −10 cm · ajustesSep 12 · 44.25 m · +11 cm · ajustesSep 13 · 44.26 m · +1 cm · ajustesSep 14 · 44.40 m · +14 cm · ajustesSep 15 · 44.46 m · +6 cm · ajustes 44.46 m — today ▲ Sep 9 · 0.55 in of rainSep 10 · 0.5 in of rainSep 11 · 0.01 in of rainSep 12 · 0.13 in of rainSep 13 · 0.14 in of rainSep 14 · 1.09 in of rain rain to 1.09 in
La Plata since Aug 26, metres above sea level, shaded by AAA alert band, with daily rain from USGS gauges within 12 km. Data: AAA Monitoreo Diario.

La Plata · September 15

Level today
44.46 mband: ajustes
Change since yesterday
+6 cm
To the control line
3.96 mline at 40.50 m
At the current pace
rising

What the numbers say

This week’s rain brought a genuine reversal across the metro system. Carraízo swung from a decline the prior week to a solid climb, with the heaviest rain day, 1.6 in on September 14, followed by the sharpest single-morning gain of the week. La Plata told a similar story: last week’s decline gave way to four straight mornings higher, even though earlier rain on September 9 and September 10 had actually coincided with drops, a sign the ground needed to catch up before the reservoir responded. Cidra’s turnaround was gentler, easing from a mild slide into a slow but steady rise.

None of this changes the picture overnight. Carraízo’s pace, if sustained, points toward the next line up in about 12 days, while La Plata and Cidra are also arithmetically headed upward, though far more slowly, especially Cidra given how close it sits to a lower band it’s now moving away from. These are projections based on the current trailing rate, not predictions — a dry spell could flatten any of them quickly. For now, the direction across all three reservoirs is the same: up, not down.

What to watch

  • Carraízo: whether the rise survives a dry week — this week’s gain came with 3.11 in of rain nearby.
  • La Plata: whether the rise survives a dry week — this week’s gain came with 2.42 in of rain nearby.
  • Cidra: whether the rise survives a dry week — this week’s gain came with 4.71 in of rain nearby.

The other rationing reservoir

Cidra · September 15

Level today
400.27 mband: observación
Change since yesterday
+1 cm
To the ajustes line
0.04 mline at 400.23 m
At the current pace
rising

Numbers from AAA’s Monitoreo Diario chart of 2026-09-15, read each morning for our reservoir board — where the levels, the bands, and the live rain gauges update daily. Rain figures are USGS gauges within 12 km of each reservoir (a proximity proxy, not a basin measurement). Day counts start 2026-08-08, when the metro rotation took effect. Straight-line dates are arithmetic, not forecasts. The analysis paragraphs are drafted by Claude from the computed figures and checked number-by-number against them before publishing.