As of November 4, the National Hurricane Center lists no active systems in the Atlantic basin.
The Atlantic is quiet right now. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) lists no active systems, so nothing is tracking toward or near Puerto Rico. The one thing on the outlook map is a single area of interest over the Western and Central Atlantic, with a 20% chance of development in 48 hours and 40% over seven days. That area sits outside Puerto Rico’s corridor, and a 40% chance means development is possible but less likely than not.
For the island, this reads as a calm week. The climatological peak of the season, September 10, has passed, and its most active weeks, mid-August to late October, are behind us. Late-season systems can still form, so it is worth glancing at the outlook now and then, but nothing here calls for changes to plans. Official guidance comes from the NHC and the San Juan office of the National Weather Service (NWS).
The 7-day outlook
| Outlook area | 48-hour chance (NHC chance of a tropical cyclone forming within 48 hours) | 7-day chance (NHC chance of formation within seven days) | Corridor (Whether the area sits on a path that could reach Puerto Rico) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western and Central Atlantic | 20% | 40% | no concern for Puerto Rico |
Live tracks, cones and the Puerto Rico prep checklist are on the hurricane hub; the weather page carries the daily tropics line. Official watches and warnings: the National Hurricane Center and NWS San Juan.
This is the 9th Tropics Watch of the season (last week’s is here). Source: the National Hurricane Center’s advisories and its Tropical Weather Outlook of Nov 4 at 1:10 AM.