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Daily Water Watch: La Plata at 44.40 m

Published Sep 16, 2026, 6:02 AM AST787daily · Original analysis

At a glance

  • Carraízo fell 2 cm to 39.23 m (observación band) — 0.73 m above the ajustes line, roughly 36.5 days at the current pace
  • La Plata fell 6 cm to 44.40 m (ajustes band) — 3.90 m above the control line
  • Carraízo is rising — averaging 2.7 cm a day over the past week; 3.13 in of rain over the watershed this week
  • Day 40 of the metro rotation plan — interruptions paused since September 2, plan still in force; the plan began Aug 8; levels are read each morning from AAA’s own 5:00 AM chart for our reservoir board

Why this matters: The number that matters is the gap to the next band line: 0.73 m for Carraízo, 3.90 m for La Plata. Straight-line dates move every day — the daily check is the point.

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Day 40 of the metro rotation plan — interruptions paused since September 2, plan still in force. This morning’s 5:00 chart from the Autoridad de Acueductos y Alcantarillados shows Carraízo at 39.23 meters — down 2 centimeters from yesterday, and La Plata at 44.40 meters — down 6 centimeters from yesterday.

This is the 36th entry in our daily chart check (yesterday’s is here), built the same way every morning — from AAA’s own numbers, read off its charts for our reservoir board.

Carraízo: down 2 cm

Carraízo kept sliding. This morning’s chart puts it at 39.23 meters — down 2 centimeters from yesterday, in the observación band. The next line on the chart — into the ajustes band — sits at 38.50 meters, 0.73 meters below this morning’s reading. At AAA’s printed pace that is roughly 36.5 days out (straight-line date: Oct 23 — a projection, not a forecast; one wet afternoon moves it).

ajustes observación 37.0 37.5 38.0 38.5 39.0 39.5 Aug 27 Sep 6 Sep 16 Aug 27 · 37.26 m · ajustesAug 28 · 37.20 m · −6 cm · ajustesAug 29 · 37.14 m · −6 cm · ajustesAug 30 · 37.07 m · −7 cm · ajustesAug 31 · 37.14 m · +7 cm · ajustesSep 1 · 37.20 m · +6 cm · ajustesSep 2 · 38.92 m · +172 cm · observaciónSep 3 · 39.11 m · +19 cm · observaciónSep 4 · 39.09 m · −2 cm · observaciónSep 5 · 39.01 m · −8 cm · observaciónSep 6 · 38.94 m · −7 cm · observaciónSep 7 · 38.87 m · −7 cm · observaciónSep 8 · 38.83 m · −4 cm · observaciónSep 9 · 39.02 m · +19 cm · observaciónSep 10 · 39.07 m · +5 cm · observaciónSep 11 · 39.20 m · +13 cm · observaciónSep 12 · 39.19 m · −1 cm · observaciónSep 13 · 39.14 m · −5 cm · observaciónSep 14 · 39.16 m · +2 cm · observaciónSep 15 · 39.25 m · +9 cm · observaciónSep 16 · 39.23 m · −2 cm · observación 39.23 m — today ▼ at ~2 cm/day Sep 10 · 0.2 in of rainSep 11 · 0.3 in of rainSep 13 · 0.6 in of rainSep 14 · 1.6 in of rainSep 15 · 0.43 in of rain rain to 1.60 in
Carraízo since Aug 27, meters above sea level, shaded by AAA alert band, with daily rain from USGS gauges within 12 km. Data: AAA Monitoreo Diario.

Carraízo · September 16

Level today
39.23 mband: observación
Change since yesterday
-2 cm
To the ajustes line
0.73 mline at 38.50 m
At the current pace
≈ 36.5 daysstraight-line date: Oct 23

La Plata: down 6 cm

La Plata kept sliding. This morning’s chart puts it at 44.40 meters — down 6 centimeters from yesterday, in the ajustes band. The next line on the chart — into the control band — sits at 40.50 meters, 3.90 meters below this morning’s reading.

If your water comes from La Plata — Dorado, Guaynabo, Naranjito, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Vega Alta, Bayamón, Cataño, Corozal — this is the reservoir to watch; AAA lists 130,828 client accounts on it.

ajustes observación 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Aug 27 Sep 6 Sep 16 Aug 27 · 45.04 m · observaciónAug 28 · 44.93 m · −11 cm · observaciónAug 29 · 44.83 m · −10 cm · ajustesAug 30 · 44.72 m · −11 cm · ajustesAug 31 · 44.67 m · −5 cm · ajustesSep 1 · 44.59 m · −8 cm · ajustesSep 2 · 44.59 m · +0 cm · ajustesSep 3 · 44.59 m · +0 cm · ajustesSep 4 · 44.57 m · −2 cm · ajustesSep 5 · 44.54 m · −3 cm · ajustesSep 6 · 44.52 m · −2 cm · ajustesSep 7 · 44.46 m · −6 cm · ajustesSep 8 · 44.40 m · −6 cm · ajustesSep 9 · 44.32 m · −8 cm · ajustesSep 10 · 44.24 m · −8 cm · ajustesSep 11 · 44.14 m · −10 cm · ajustesSep 12 · 44.25 m · +11 cm · ajustesSep 13 · 44.26 m · +1 cm · ajustesSep 14 · 44.40 m · +14 cm · ajustesSep 15 · 44.46 m · +6 cm · ajustesSep 16 · 44.40 m · −6 cm · ajustes 44.40 m — today ▼ at ~6 cm/day Sep 10 · 0.5 in of rainSep 11 · 0.01 in of rainSep 12 · 0.13 in of rainSep 13 · 0.14 in of rainSep 14 · 1.09 in of rainSep 15 · 0.14 in of rain rain to 1.09 in
La Plata since Aug 27, meters above sea level, shaded by AAA alert band, with daily rain from USGS gauges within 12 km. Data: AAA Monitoreo Diario.

La Plata · September 16

Level today
44.40 mband: ajustes
Change since yesterday
-6 cm
To the control line
3.90 mline at 40.50 m
At the current pace
months awaythe decline is very shallow

What the numbers say

Over the past week Carraízo has been rising an average of 2.7 cm a day, a reversal from a 1.5 cm-a-day decline the week before. Since the rotation began 38 days ago it has gained 170 cm, from 37.53 m. It sits 0.73 m above the ajustes line (the next band down), at 39.23 m in the observación band. If this week’s rise held, the level would climb into the seguridad band above (line at 39.70 m) in about 17 days, around October 4. Nearby USGS gauges recorded 3.13 in of rain this week, most of it September 14 (1.6 in). After the 0.6 in on September 13, the next morning’s reading was +2 cm. After the 1.6 in on September 14, the next morning’s reading was +9 cm.

Over the past week La Plata has been rising an average of 2.7 cm a day, a reversal from a 4.5 cm-a-day decline the week before. Since the rotation began 38 days ago it has lost 198 cm, from 46.38 m. It sits 3.90 m above the control line (the next band down), at 44.40 m in the ajustes band. If this week’s rise held, the level would climb into the observacion band above (line at 44.90 m) in about 19 days, around October 5. Nearby USGS gauges recorded 2.01 in of rain this week, most of it September 14 (1.09 in). After the 0.5 in on September 10, the next morning’s reading was -10 cm. After the 1.09 in on September 14, the next morning’s reading was +6 cm.

Over the past week Cidra has been rising an average of 1 cm a day. Since the rotation began 38 days ago it has gained 15 cm, from 400.13 m. It sits 0.05 m above the ajustes line (the next band down), at 400.28 m in the observación band. If this week’s rise held, the level would climb into the seguridad band above (line at 401.71 m) in about 143 days. Nearby USGS gauges recorded 3.88 in of rain this week, most of it September 14 (1.6 in). After the 1.57 in on September 10, the next morning’s reading was +5 cm. After the 1.6 in on September 14, the next morning’s reading was +1 cm.

What to watch

  • Carraízo: whether the rise survives a dry week — this week’s gain came with 3.13 in of rain nearby.
  • La Plata: whether the rise survives a dry week — this week’s gain came with 2.01 in of rain nearby.
  • Cidra: whether the rise survives a dry week — this week’s gain came with 3.88 in of rain nearby.

The other rationing reservoir

Cidra · September 16

Level today
400.28 mband: observación
Change since yesterday
+1 cm
To the ajustes line
0.05 mline at 400.23 m
At the current pace
rising

Numbers from AAA’s Monitoreo Diario chart of Sep 16, read each morning for our reservoir board — where the levels, the bands, and the live rain gauges update daily. Rain figures are USGS gauges within 12 km of each reservoir (a proximity proxy, not a basin measurement). Day counts start Aug 8, when the metro rotation took effect. Straight-line dates are arithmetic, not forecasts.

In context — 787daily, from public data

About this analysis
Cite this

Source: 787daily, “Daily Water Watch: La Plata at 44.40 m”, Sep 16, 2026 — https://787daily.com/news/2026-09-16-daily-water-watch-la-plata-at-44-40-meters/

Numbers from
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