As of September 23, the National Hurricane Center lists no active systems in the Atlantic basin.
The Atlantic is quiet this week. As of September 23, the National Hurricane Center has no active systems on the board. Forecasters are watching just one area of interest, far out in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic, with only a 40% chance of development over the next 7 days and an even lower 20% chance in the near term. NHC does not place it outside Puerto Rico’s corridor, so it is one to watch rather than worry about.
We’re past the climatological peak of the season, which fell on September 10, but hurricane season is still very much underway, so it’s worth keeping an eye on updates rather than tuning out entirely. For now, calm conditions are the story of the week. As always, for the latest official forecasts and any changes to this outlook, check the National Hurricane Center and NWS San Juan directly.
The 7-day outlook
| Outlook area | 48-hour chance (NHC chance of a tropical cyclone forming within 48 hours) | 7-day chance (NHC chance of formation within seven days) | Corridor (Whether the area sits on a path that could reach Puerto Rico) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic | 20% | 40% | watch |
Live tracks, cones and the Puerto Rico prep checklist are on the hurricane hub; the weather page carries the daily tropics line. Official watches and warnings: the National Hurricane Center and NWS San Juan.
This is the 3rd Tropics Watch of the season (last week’s is here). Source: NHC CurrentStorms.json and the Tropical Weather Outlook issued Sep 23 at 1:07 AM.
Corrected October 7: an earlier version said the area was well away from Puerto Rico and that nothing was tracking toward the island; NHC’s outlook did not place it outside Puerto Rico’s corridor, as the table shows.