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Tropics Watch, Nov 11: A Quiet Atlantic, 0% Formation Chance This Week

Published Nov 11, 2026, 6:09 AM AST787daily · Original analysis

At a glance

  • No active Atlantic systems
  • 7-day outlook: nothing flagged for development
  • Season peak is September 10; official guidance comes from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and the San Juan office of the National Weather Service (NWS)

Why this matters: Whether anything in the Atlantic could reach Puerto Rico in the coming week, and how much of the season is left.

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Hurricane hub: every active system's distance from San Juan

As of November 11, the National Hurricane Center lists no active systems in the Atlantic basin.

The Atlantic basin is quiet. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is tracking no active systems, and its 7-day outlook shows no areas with any chance of development. That includes the corridor that matters most to Puerto Rico, so nothing is heading our way and nothing is brewing nearby. For residents and visitors, this is a calm week with no reason to change plans.

The calendar fits the picture. The climatological peak of the season, September 10, has passed, and the most active weeks, mid-August to late October, are behind us. Late-season activity is not impossible, but today’s outlook shows none. As always, official guidance comes from the NHC and the San Juan office of the National Weather Service (NWS), and those are the sources to check if conditions change.

most active weeks peak, Sep 10 this week Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Nov 30
The Atlantic season, June 1 to November 30. The shaded weeks are the statistical peak, mid-August to late October, as on the hurricane hub; the dashed line is the climatological peak of September 10. 19 days of the season remain. A calendar, not a forecast: no system on this week's list is placed on it.

Live tracks, cones and the Puerto Rico prep checklist are on the hurricane hub; the weather page carries the daily tropics line. Official watches and warnings: the National Hurricane Center and NWS San Juan.

This is the 10th Tropics Watch of the season (last week’s is here). Source: the National Hurricane Center’s advisories and its Tropical Weather Outlook of Nov 11 at 1:02 AM.

In context

About this analysis
Cite this

Source: 787daily, “Tropics Watch, Nov 11: A Quiet Atlantic, 0% Formation Chance This Week”, Nov 11, 2026, https://787daily.com/news/2026-11-11-tropics-watch-a-quiet-atlantic-0-formation-chance-this-week/

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Hurricane hub: every active system's distance from San Juan