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Daily Water Watch: Carraízo Rises to 39.02 m

Published Sep 9, 2026, 6:52 AM AST787daily · Original analysis

At a glance

  • Carraízo rose 19 cm to 39.02 m (observación band) — 0.52 m above the ajustes line
  • La Plata fell 8 cm to 44.32 m (ajustes band) — 3.82 m above the control line, roughly 47.8 days at the current pace
  • Carraízo is falling — averaging 1.5 cm a day over the past week; at that pace the ajustes line arrives around Oct 14; 1.67 in of rain over the watershed this week
  • Day 33 of the metro rotation plan — interruptions paused since September 2, plan still in force; the plan began Aug 8; levels are read each morning from AAA’s own 5:00 AM chart for our reservoir board

Why this matters: The number that matters is the gap to the next band line: 0.52 m for Carraízo, 3.82 m for La Plata. Straight-line dates move every day — the daily check is the point.

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Day 33 of the metro rotation plan: interruptions paused since September 2, plan still in force. This morning’s 5:00 chart from the Autoridad de Acueductos y Alcantarillados shows Carraízo at 39.02 meters — up 19 centimeters from yesterday, and La Plata at 44.32 meters — down 8 centimeters from yesterday.

This is the 30th entry in our daily chart check (yesterday’s is here), built the same way every morning — from AAA’s own numbers, read off its charts for our reservoir board.

Carraízo: a rise

Carraízo gained ground overnight. This morning’s chart puts it at 39.02 meters — up 19 centimeters from yesterday, in the observación band. The next line on the chart — into the ajustes band — sits at 38.50 meters, 0.52 meters below this morning’s reading.

ajustes line · 38.50 m 2026-08-27 · 37.26 m2026-08-28 · 37.20 m · −6 cm2026-08-29 · 37.14 m · −6 cm2026-08-30 · 37.07 m · −7 cm2026-08-31 · 37.14 m · +7 cm2026-09-01 · 37.20 m · +6 cm2026-09-02 · 38.92 m · +172 cm2026-09-03 · 39.11 m · +19 cm2026-09-04 · 39.09 m · −2 cm2026-09-05 · 39.01 m · −8 cm2026-09-06 · 38.94 m · −7 cm2026-09-07 · 38.87 m · −7 cm2026-09-08 · 38.83 m · −4 cm2026-09-09 · 39.02 m · +19 cm 37.26 39.02 — today ▲
Carraízo since Aug 27 (meters above sea level), against the ajustes line. Data: AAA Monitoreo Diario.

Carraízo · September 9

Level today
39.02 mband: observación
Change since yesterday
+19 cm
To the ajustes line
0.52 mline at 38.50 m
At the current pace
rising

La Plata: down 8 cm

La Plata kept sliding. This morning’s chart puts it at 44.32 meters — down 8 centimeters from yesterday, in the ajustes band. The next line on the chart — into the control band — sits at 40.50 meters, 3.82 meters below this morning’s reading. At AAA’s printed pace that is roughly 47.8 days out (straight-line date: Oct 27 — a projection, not a forecast; one wet afternoon moves it).

If your water comes from La Plata — Dorado, Guaynabo, Naranjito, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Vega Alta, Bayamón, Cataño, Corozal — this is the reservoir to watch; AAA lists 130,828 client accounts on it.

control line · 40.50 m 2026-08-27 · 45.04 m2026-08-28 · 44.93 m · −11 cm2026-08-29 · 44.83 m · −10 cm2026-08-30 · 44.72 m · −11 cm2026-08-31 · 44.67 m · −5 cm2026-09-01 · 44.59 m · −8 cm2026-09-02 · 44.59 m · +0 cm2026-09-03 · 44.59 m · +0 cm2026-09-04 · 44.57 m · −2 cm2026-09-05 · 44.54 m · −3 cm2026-09-06 · 44.52 m · −2 cm2026-09-07 · 44.46 m · −6 cm2026-09-08 · 44.40 m · −6 cm2026-09-09 · 44.32 m · −8 cm 45.04 44.32 — today ▼ at the current ~8 cm/day pace
La Plata since Aug 27 (meters above sea level), against the control line. Data: AAA Monitoreo Diario.

La Plata · September 9

Level today
44.32 mband: ajustes
Change since yesterday
-8 cm
To the control line
3.82 mline at 40.50 m
At the current pace
≈ 47.8 daysstraight-line date: Oct 27

What the numbers say

Carraízo is still trending down over the trailing week, off 1.5 cm a day, but that’s a sharp easing from the 27.7 cm a day pace of the week before — this morning’s chart even showed a 19 cm gain, the reservoir’s one-day streak. It remains 0.52 m above the ajustes line, at 39.02 m, and since the rotation began 31 days ago it has actually gained 149 cm overall. Rain totaled 1.67 in this week, mostly the 0.95 in on September 7, though the next morning’s reading fell 4 cm anyway. Arithmetically, at the current 7-day rate, the ajustes line at 38.50 m is about 35 days out, around October 14.

La Plata’s six-morning slide continues, down 27 cm in that stretch, but the pace is softening — 4.5 cm a day this week versus 7.5 cm a day the week before. It sits 3.82 m above the control line at 44.32 m, and has lost 206 cm since day one of the rotation. Only 0.52 in of rain fell nearby this week, with no measurable next-day bump recorded. At this week’s rate, the control line at 40.50 m is about 85 days away, around December 3. Cidra, meanwhile, stayed essentially flat, up just 0.2 cm a day, with 2.26 in of rain producing a modest 2 cm rise the morning after the September 8 rain.

What to watch

  • La Plata: whether the slowdown holds — a second week under 7.5 cm a day would say the rotation is doing its job.

The other rationing reservoir

Cidra · September 9

Level today
400.18 mband: ajustes
Change since yesterday
+2 cm
To the control line
1.81 mline at 398.37 m
At the current pace
rising

Numbers from AAA’s Monitoreo Diario chart of Sep 9, read each morning for our reservoir board — where the levels, the bands, and the live rain gauges update daily. Rain figures are USGS gauges within 12 km of each reservoir (a proximity proxy, not a basin measurement). Day counts start Aug 8, when the metro rotation took effect. Straight-line dates are arithmetic, not forecasts. The analysis paragraphs are drafted by Claude from the computed figures and checked number-by-number against them before publishing.

In context

About this analysis
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Source: 787daily, “Daily Water Watch: Carraízo Rises to 39.02 m”, Sep 9, 2026, https://787daily.com/news/2026-09-09-daily-water-watch-carraizo-rises-to-39-02-meters/

Numbers from
AAA's 5 AM reservoir chart, validated daily
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