Infrastructure

Water Week in Review: Carraízo Up 11 cm, September 27–October 4

Published Oct 4, 2026787 Daily · Original analysis

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The week of September 27–October 4 on AAA’s reservoir charts: Carraízo up 11 cm, La Plata down 60 cm. The numbers first, then what they add up to.

Week 9: where the reservoirs stand

Control Adjustments Ajustes Watch Observación Safe Seguridad Spilling Carraízo, 40.74 m, Safe (Seguridad), +3.21 m since Aug 9, +0.07 m in 7 days 40.74 Carraízo La Plata, 43.79 m, Adjustments (Ajustes), −2.59 m since Aug 9, −0.68 m in 7 days 43.79 La Plata Cidra, 400.53 m, Watch (Observación), +0.40 m since Aug 9, ±0.00 m in 7 days 400.53 Cidra Toa Vaca, 147.04 m, Safe (Seguridad), −0.51 m since Aug 9, −0.05 m in 7 days 147.04 Toa Vaca Río Blanco, 26.62 m, Safe (Seguridad), +1.16 m since Aug 9, +0.44 m in 7 days 26.62 Río Blanco Fajardo, 47.73 m, Watch (Observación), +0.32 m since Aug 9, +0.08 m in 7 days 47.73 Fajardo AAA — DRINKING WATER Carite, 542.32 m, Safe (Seguridad), +0.34 m since Aug 9, −0.03 m in 7 days 542.32 Carite Patillas, 65.68 m, Safe (Seguridad), +1.93 m since Aug 9, +0.14 m in 7 days 65.68 Patillas Guineo, 901.00 m, Safe (Seguridad), −1.40 m since Aug 9, −1.39 m in 7 days 901.00 Guineo Matrullas, 733.56 m, Safe (Seguridad), +0.57 m since Aug 9, −1.08 m in 7 days 733.56 Matrullas Guayabal, 103.26 m, Safe (Seguridad), +0.98 m since Aug 9, +0.68 m in 7 days 103.26 Guayabal Garzas, 736.06 m, Safe (Seguridad), +0.01 m since Aug 9, −0.01 m in 7 days 736.06 Garzas Guayo, 443.53 m, Safe (Seguridad), +0.65 m since Aug 9, +0.44 m in 7 days 443.53 Guayo Lucchetti, 170.92 m, Safe (Seguridad), −0.24 m since Aug 9, −0.48 m in 7 days 170.92 Lucchetti Loco, 69.85 m, Safe (Seguridad), −0.04 m since Aug 9, +0.18 m in 7 days 69.85 Loco Dos Bocas, 89.80 m, Safe (Seguridad), +0.30 m since Aug 9, −0.25 m in 7 days 89.80 Dos Bocas Caonillas, 251.81 m, Safe (Seguridad), +1.08 m since Aug 9, ±0.00 m in 7 days 251.81 Caonillas Guajataca, 196.29 m, Safe (Seguridad), +0.28 m since Aug 9, −0.04 m in 7 days 196.29 Guajataca PREPA — HYDROELECTRIC Cerrillos, 166.73 m, Safe (Seguridad), −1.49 m since Aug 9, −0.17 m in 7 days 166.73 Cerrillos DRNA
Week 9 of the metro rotation — where the 19 reservoirs stand as of Oct 4: each column is that reservoir's own ladder of AAA bands, the bar its level in metres, the dashed tick where it stood on August 8, day one of the rotation, the triangle this week's direction. Source: AAA's 5 AM readings; bands as AAA's monitoring chart defines them.

16 of 19 reservoirs sit in safe (seguridad) or above, 2 in watch (observación); La Plata is in adjustments (ajustes). Since August 8, Carraízo (adjustments → safe), Cidra (adjustments → watch), Río Blanco (watch → safe), Matrullas (watch → safe), Guayabal (watch → safe) have moved up a band; La Plata (watch → adjustments), Guineo (spilling → safe) have slipped down. This week’s biggest move is Guineo, down 1.39 m to 901.00 m.

At a glance

Carraízo

Sep 27 → Oct 4
40.63 → 40.74 mseguridad band today
Net change
+11 cm1.6 cm a day on average
Best morning
+14 cmOct 4
Worst morning
−5 cmSep 28
Rain nearby, last 7 days
2.31 inmost on Oct 1 (1.45 in)
Above the observación line
1.04 mrising — desborde line ≈ 8 days up

La Plata

Sep 27 → Oct 4
44.39 → 43.79 majustes band today
Net change
−60 cm8.6 cm a day on average
Worst morning
−17 cmOct 4
Rain nearby, last 7 days
0.76 inmost on Sep 30 (0.5 in)
Above the control line
3.29 m≈ 38 days at this week's pace

Cidra

Sep 27 → Oct 4
400.52 → 400.53 mobservación band today
Net change
+1 cm0.1 cm a day on average
Best morning
+2 cmSep 30
Worst morning
−1 cmSep 29
Rain nearby, last 7 days
2.5 inmost on Oct 1 (0.89 in)
Above the ajustes line
0.30 mholding

Carraízo, this week

Carraízo, morning by morning — tap a day for that chart check

Teal = up from the previous reading, coral = down; a bold border marks a move of 20 cm or more.

Three reservoirs, one scale

0 +11 cm −60 cm Sep 27 Oct 4 Carraízo, 2026-09-27, 40.63 m, ±0 cm since 2026-09-27Carraízo, 2026-09-28, 40.58 m, −5 cm since 2026-09-27Carraízo, 2026-09-29, 40.53 m, −10 cm since 2026-09-27Carraízo, 2026-09-30, 40.51 m, −12 cm since 2026-09-27Carraízo, 2026-10-01, 40.47 m, −16 cm since 2026-09-27Carraízo, 2026-10-02, 40.60 m, −3 cm since 2026-09-27Carraízo, 2026-10-04, 40.74 m, +11 cm since 2026-09-27Carraízo +11 cm La Plata, 2026-09-27, 44.39 m, ±0 cm since 2026-09-27La Plata, 2026-09-28, 44.31 m, −8 cm since 2026-09-27La Plata, 2026-09-29, 44.22 m, −17 cm since 2026-09-27La Plata, 2026-09-30, 44.13 m, −26 cm since 2026-09-27La Plata, 2026-10-01, 44.04 m, −35 cm since 2026-09-27La Plata, 2026-10-02, 43.96 m, −43 cm since 2026-09-27La Plata, 2026-10-04, 43.79 m, −60 cm since 2026-09-27La Plata −60 cm Cidra, 2026-09-27, 400.52 m, ±0 cm since 2026-09-27Cidra, 2026-09-28, 400.52 m, ±0 cm since 2026-09-27Cidra, 2026-09-29, 400.51 m, −1 cm since 2026-09-27Cidra, 2026-09-30, 400.53 m, +1 cm since 2026-09-27Cidra, 2026-10-01, 400.54 m, +2 cm since 2026-09-27Cidra, 2026-10-02, 400.54 m, +2 cm since 2026-09-27Cidra, 2026-10-04, 400.53 m, +1 cm since 2026-09-27Cidra +1 cm
Change since Sep 27, in centimeters — three reservoirs on one scale. Hover or tap a point for the day's reading. Data: AAA Monitoreo Diario.

What it adds up to

The week’s big change came at Carraízo. After 1.45 in of rain on October 1, it gained 13 cm the next morning, then 14 cm on October 4, and now sits in the seguridad band, moving toward the desborde line at 40.95 m. That is a rise from rain, not a settled recovery: the rain that fell the day before (0.53 in) was followed by a 4 cm drop.

The rain did little for the other two. La Plata took 0.50 in on September 30 and fell 9 cm the next morning; it has dropped 11 mornings running and is still losing ground faster each week, sliding through the ajustes band toward control. Cidra barely moved. Its rain produced 2 cm, 1 cm and 0 cm, and it sits in observación, 0.30 m above the ajustes line. The 38-day projection for La Plata is arithmetic at its latest weekly pace, not a forecast.

Each reservoir against its own next band line
ajustes observación seguridad 37.0 37.5 38.0 38.5 39.0 39.5 40.0 40.5 41.0 Sep 27 Sep 30 Oct 4 Sep 27, 40.63 m, seguridadSep 28, 40.58 m, −5 cm, seguridadSep 29, 40.53 m, −5 cm, seguridadSep 30, 40.51 m, −2 cm, seguridadOct 1, 40.47 m, −4 cm, seguridadOct 2, 40.60 m, +13 cm, seguridadOct 4, 40.74 m, +14 cm, seguridad 40.74 m
Carraízo since Sep 27, meters above sea level, shaded by AAA alert band. Data: AAA Monitoreo Diario.
ajustes observación seguridad 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 Sep 27 Sep 30 Oct 4 Sep 27, 44.39 m, ajustesSep 28, 44.31 m, −8 cm, ajustesSep 29, 44.22 m, −9 cm, ajustesSep 30, 44.13 m, −9 cm, ajustesOct 1, 44.04 m, −9 cm, ajustesOct 2, 43.96 m, −8 cm, ajustesOct 4, 43.79 m, −17 cm, ajustes 43.79 m at ~9 cm/day
La Plata since Sep 27, meters above sea level, shaded by AAA alert band. Data: AAA Monitoreo Diario.
ajustes observación seguridad 398 399 400 401 402 403 Sep 27 Sep 30 Oct 4 Sep 27, 400.52 m, observaciónSep 28, 400.52 m, +0 cm, observaciónSep 29, 400.51 m, −1 cm, observaciónSep 30, 400.53 m, +2 cm, observaciónOct 1, 400.54 m, +1 cm, observaciónOct 2, 400.54 m, +0 cm, observaciónOct 4, 400.53 m, −1 cm, observación 400.53 m
Cidra since Sep 27, meters above sea level, shaded by AAA alert band. Data: AAA Monitoreo Diario.
All 5 daily chart checks this week

Numbers from AAA’s Monitoreo Diario charts, read each morning for our reservoir board; rain from USGS gauges within 12 km of each reservoir (a proximity proxy, not a basin measurement). Rates and pace dates are arithmetic over the stored readings, not forecasts. The narrative is drafted by Claude from the computed figures and checked number-by-number against them before publishing.

Cite this

Source: 787daily, “Water Week in Review: Carraízo Up 11 cm, September 27–October 4”, Oct. 4, 2026 — https://787daily.com/news/2026-10-04-water-week-in-review-carraizo-up-11-cm-september-27-october-/

Numbers from
Seven days of validated reservoir readings and AAA notices

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